My Morning Jacket

My Morning Jacket => The Band => Topic started by: The DARK on Jun 03, 2008, 12:40 AM

Title: Chart Predictions?
Post by: The DARK on Jun 03, 2008, 12:40 AM
We're a week away now. How high do you think it's gonna go?

I say #8.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: cmccubbin25 on Jun 03, 2008, 08:30 AM
Maybe in the Top 50...and if so...just barely.

Z has only sold around 200,000 copies and ISM is less than that.

To break the Top 50 they will have to sell I'd say at least 125,000 copies of the album the first week.  Not sure they are that popular just yet.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: BH on Jun 03, 2008, 09:48 AM
Hey, it's already number 23 on amazon.

http://www.amazon.com/gp/bestsellers/music/ref=pd_dp_ts_m_1
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: tdogjuwan on Jun 03, 2008, 10:09 AM
#6 with 65k units sold
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: cmccubbin25 on Jun 03, 2008, 10:37 AM
Quote#6 with 65k units sold

i guess i'm wrong!

what charts are you talking about?  Billboard?
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: fitzcarraldo on Jun 03, 2008, 10:39 AM
#1 with a bullet.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: tdogjuwan on Jun 03, 2008, 11:48 AM
If this can happen:

Gavin DeGraw's self-titled J Records sophomore release debuts at No 7 with 66,112 units sold this week.

Then MMJ can beat Gavin.  I was one off but that was my prediction. If I had it my way MMJ would make music just for me. Unfortunately I'm not in a position to support the band to make them perform exclusively for me. So we need to be happy with all their success.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: tomEisenbraun on Jun 03, 2008, 12:50 PM
Cock it. Pull it.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: Bigsky on Jun 03, 2008, 01:14 PM
I don't think it matters too much...they're already at number one on my chart. Anyways, I'm more excited for the live versions of the new material.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: Angry Ewok on Jun 03, 2008, 01:35 PM
I think Evil Urges is prone to sit at the top of all of the CIMS Charts for a good while. Top debut, top sales, top vinyl sales. I just hope the leak hasn't damaged the sales the way many folks believe Z was.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: cmccubbin25 on Jun 03, 2008, 04:18 PM
QuoteI think Evil Urges is prone to sit at the top of all of the CIMS Charts for a good while. Top debut, top sales, top vinyl sales. I just hope the leak hasn't damaged the sales the way many folks believe Z was.

well according to every noob that came on here just to get a leaked copy of the album they have "assured" us they will be buying a copy also.   >:(
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: capt. scotty on Jun 03, 2008, 09:26 PM
Id be shocked, shocked jerry, shocked if it didnt end up in the Top 12

What are the other bigtime realeases for next week? That could factor in
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: ItStillJaimoe on Jun 03, 2008, 10:42 PM
Depends on how many albums they ship and how big of a push they get from their record company and subsequent deals with music stores. If everything is done right, I won't be shocked with a Top 15 on Billboard.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: MyLifeISought on Jun 08, 2008, 12:35 PM
I call: #5. The band that was my little secret six years ago in high school is no more  :)
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: Pizz on Jun 08, 2008, 12:54 PM
QuoteMaybe in the Top 50...and if so...just barely.

Z has only sold around 200,000 copies and ISM is less than that.

To break the Top 50 they will have to sell I'd say at least 125,000 copies of the album the first week.  Not sure they are that popular just yet.

I have word from a good source that the pace at which people are buying their previous releases has picked up x's 3.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: TGMC421 on Jun 08, 2008, 05:04 PM
#8 on Amazon  ;D
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: just lovely on Jun 08, 2008, 10:20 PM
My prediction for the album, like all music from this band, is that it will be bigger than my biggest of problems, louder than any worry, and stronger than any sadness.
:)

Chart-wise, I have no idea. Really really high, I hope.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: capt. scotty on Jun 08, 2008, 11:32 PM
Not that theres probably many ppl who are MMJ fans and will get any of these albums, but Lil Wayne, Alanis Morissette,  and NERD are all being released on Tuesday as well.

I dont think itll hurt MMJ's sales, but that may make the chart # lower. Im pretty sure all 3 of those will outsell MMJ, and theres a couple other albums that should do pretty good as well

Itll almost certainly be Top 3 on Amazon by tuesday, if not #1. I always like to see where some bands end up on Amazon, but there are certain types of music that always to good on amazon because of the types of fans who frequent it and buy music off it. I think MMJ is one of those bands
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: BH on Jun 09, 2008, 05:31 PM
#6 on Amazon today.... :)
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: MMJ_fanatic on Jun 09, 2008, 07:35 PM
1 sounds good to me, but at least no less than the top 10...
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: JacketGal on Jun 09, 2008, 10:15 PM
I'm Amazed is the number one song on WXRT in Chicago! Nice!!  :D
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: BH on Jun 10, 2008, 11:34 PM
#4 on Amazon. :)

I think we have to wait until a week from Thursday to get the Billboard Chart.  I will be on a plane.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: vespachick on Jun 10, 2008, 11:37 PM
QuoteI will be on a plane.

Salt rub anyone?
;D

Me too!!
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: BH on Jun 10, 2008, 11:54 PM
Quote
QuoteI will be on a plane.

Salt rub anyone?
;D

Me too!!


Uh, yes, excuse, ms. flight attendant, I would like to buy a glass of red wine for vc.  She's on flight 2753 from Portland to LaGuardia.  Call that in will ya.  Thanks.   [smiley=beer.gif]
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: vespachick on Jun 10, 2008, 11:59 PM
Quote

Uh, yes, excuse, ms. flight attendant, I would like to buy a glass of red wine for vc.  She's on flight 2753 from Portland to LaGuardia.  Call that in will ya.  Thanks.   [smiley=beer.gif]

LOL!  I will def raise a glass of red to you, BH, on my way to NYC!  I hope we meet up at the brewery!  I'm trying to fashion a recognizable Tshirt so as not to miss the gang, but I'm not very inspired for some reason.  I'm considering an image of Tracy with Bunny ears, but that just might make people think I'm gay or something?!?! [smiley=evil.gif]
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: capt. scotty on Jun 11, 2008, 12:17 AM
Well, I got my copy today from the only local record store. I had to pay 16$ instead of 10$ from best buy, but I got it at 1:30 PM and it was their 8th and last copy. And I live in Iowa. Surprised me

Then I checked out best buy's stock and since none were in that first 'new release' CD rack they have as soon as you walk in, I put about 15 Evil Urges in front of a bunch of Radiohead and Fergie albums. I think the big dude at the door saw me, but maybe they stayed their...Viva la Jaqueta!!

Ohh...and I now have a bet with my girlfriend - If MMJ cracks the Top 10, I get road head; they dont, I owe a half hour foot massage..I dont lose too much either way, but lets go Top 10!!
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: pjmmj86 on Jun 12, 2008, 02:28 PM
I've been thinking about this as well. Recently, many indie bands have had chart success (Wilco, Modest Mouse, The Shins, Death Cab, Flaming Lips, etc.) and MMJ has been picking up a lot of steam. Therefore, I'm gonna say #8, which is where Wilco's A Ghost is Born debuted and I think both bands are pretty comparable in terms of popularity.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: cmccubbin25 on Jun 12, 2008, 02:47 PM
QuoteWell, I got my copy today from the only local record store. I had to pay 16$ instead of 10$ from best buy, but I got it at 1:30 PM and it was their 8th and last copy. And I live in Iowa. Surprised me

Then I checked out best buy's stock and since none were in that first 'new release' CD rack they have as soon as you walk in, I put about 15 Evil Urges in front of a bunch of Radiohead and Fergie albums. I think the big dude at the door saw me, but maybe they stayed their...Viva la Jaqueta!!

Ohh...and I now have a bet with my girlfriend - If MMJ cracks the Top 10, I get road head; they dont, I owe a half hour foot massage..I dont lose too much either way, but lets go Top 10!!

nice...a good "shot a road head" and my right hand are the two best lovers that i ever had.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: cmccubbin25 on Jun 12, 2008, 03:07 PM
i wonder how we can find SoundScan data..that seems to be sited a lot in reference to the amount of records sold.
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: cmccubbin25 on Jun 12, 2008, 03:11 PM
http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003815947

"Meanwhile, MMJ is expected to post its best Billboard 200 chart position and first-week sales total next week with "Evil Urges" (ATO), its fifth studio album."
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: SpacedCowboy on Jun 18, 2008, 09:26 AM
Congrats on breaking the top 10!!!!!

just under 50K Sold in the first week

http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1589491/20080617/lil_wayne.jhtml

This hasn't been posted on billboard.com yet or else I would have linked there.  But awesome job for the Band and management/promotional team!
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: BH on Jun 18, 2008, 10:09 AM
 [smiley=beer.gif]

(http://metronautical.files.wordpress.com/2008/02/celebration.jpg)
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: marino13 on Jun 18, 2008, 11:13 AM
"Journey's Wal-mart exclusive album "Revelation" is down 5-6 on a 15% sales slide to 89,000."


Are you f'ing kidding me?  So about twice as many people bought Journey instead of MMJ.  It's not even a debut week for that album.  What a sad country we live in when it comes to art appreciation.   >:(
Title: Re: Chart Predictions?
Post by: chris on Jun 18, 2008, 11:53 AM
So I read that it charted at #9 with 49,000 units shipped.  Pretty good.  Just to put into perspective here are a few other erstwhile indie bands and/or bands from a similar genre and their debut week sales (oh, and "Z" debuted at #67 with 18,329 units sold) (also, I've rounded some of these sales to the nearest thousand :)
Flaming Lips "At War With the Mystics" #11- 48,439
Arcade Fire "Neon Bible" #2- 92,000
Modest Mouse "We Were Dead Before the Ship Even Sank" #1- 129,000
Wilco "Sky Blue Sky" #4- 87,000
Death Cab for Cutie "Plans" #4- 90,000
Death Cab for Cutie "Narrow Stairs" #1- 144,000
Bright Eyes "Cassadaga" #4- 58,000

Cheers. (sorry for being such a geek :D)