The Economy

Started by ycartrob, Sep 30, 2008, 01:37 PM

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ycartrob

Maybe this bail out isn't necessary? It seems like the same old same old, to me. What if we let the economy take care of itself and Americans learn to live within their means, without having to have everything and have it now?

I got rid of my 36 inch TV last year and my car was paid for in 2001. I am able to be more selective with the work I do b/c money isn't the key factor; there are no Joneses for me to keep up with. I am credit card debt free and the stress in my life comes from real stuff (the usual childhood fears, death, people saying bad things about MMJ, etc...).

So what about it? We can certainly "pull ourselves up by our bootstraps", right? And it will be hard as hell to do without so many things we can simply do without, right? Or is the government selling us the perfect lie; that we cannot do this without their "help"?

getinthevan

I hadn't thought about it that way, but yeah, I think the government is trying to sell us the perfect lie.  I think we should try to let it fix itself and if that ends up failing, then begin talking about a possible bailout.  I don't see it as a solution to the problem.  

For the first time in my 21 year old life, I am truly concerned about the economy and it's affect on my future.  

777.68 points.  Jesus.
The Earth Is Not A Cold Dead Place

EAZYE

I'm pretty close to having my car paid off and the ol piece of plastic only has one or two more payments which I'm extremely proud of.  I think in a free market economy the big corporations should fall too, it's just that a lot of people will lose jobs if there is no bailout.  I don't follow it that much just my 2 cents
I painted my name on the back of a leaf
and I watched it float away

mjkoehler

I'm only worried about the house. The rest of the "stuff" is paid for or I wouldn't care if I lost it....except the laptop and the ipod but they're paid off.

I am worried majorily, but not my personal finances. Work stuff. Ugh. Our economy is NOT on sound ground and no one really has a clue what to do to right the course. Pricing on raw materials, finished materials for everyone is on the rise which we all feel in our pocketbooks. When profits matter most, companies raise prices to counter their increased costs, yet saliers are not increasing to match.

Penny Lane

i agree w/the idealogy but there is no way the economy can fix itself!!!-

let me say this: companies will go under and gone are the jobs w/in weeks/months, people defaulting on mortgages so the banks kick them out, then there's NO ONE to buy from the bank because no one has cash on hand, now the bank doesn't have cash flow from mortgages so it cannot lend any more (to all the deserving people), people dump their leased cars back to the dealers, no cash flow there, so more sales people laid off, no biggie, right? w/everyone downsizing and economizing (rightly so) no one is going to restaurants, shopping, etc so there goes the service industry (for all those of young people wanting to finance your schooling by serving burgers or bartending-forget that) none of the stores and businesses will be able to pay property taxes, income taxes--so now the govt has less cash flow coming in, hmmmmm--here come the govt layoffs, rampant unemployment--

i like small govt and low taxes just as much as everyone else but it's too late for that---if something happens soon, in a few years, we will start to see some positive effects of this.

there are good banks out there  that did things right, and a lot of savvy people who didn't get a mortgage they couldn't afford--and you don't think this will affect you and it can fix itself. it will TRICKLE down. it's not about wall street---
but come on...there's nothing sexy about poop. Nothing.  -bbill

EAZYE

Does anyone know how shitty the dollar is doing against the euro?  Just another example of how bad things are going right now.
I painted my name on the back of a leaf
and I watched it float away

Crispy

I'm not as concerned as I probably should be about this market downturn - to me it just looks like stocks are on sale, but those with big portfolios are seeing the value go in the toilet and having a shit-fit for the short-term. Now, when more banks start failing and more and more regular people lose their jobs, then I'd get worried. But when it's CEOs and executives having to pay the piper for obscene salaries and irresponsible management, I don't feel so bad. When you consider the big picture, the market goes up and down, but growth always happens and smart investments will earn money in the long run - unless the economy totally collapses and we have anarchy and lose everything, well, then we're fucked. In my opinion, now is a great time to buy stocks!
"...it's gonna be great -- I mean me coming back with the band and playing all those hits again"

ycartrob

Quotei agree w/the idealogy but there is no way the economy can fix itself!!!-
-

I disagree. You want to see this happen again? Then bail them out. If you don't bail them out then the odds of this happening again are exponentially less.

America has a lesson to learn and bailing out these "evil doers" ain't gonna teach anyone shit other than keep on doing what you're doing.

I have a feeling our nation has lost it's true work ethic and is relying on government to solve our issues. A bail out makes it all worse, IMO.
And all these "experts" yelling doom and gloom? Where were they a month ago? Seriously, I don't invest much stock (no pun intended) in these "experts" b/c none of them (not one) was standing on a mountain yelling to high heaven about what was about to go down. Now, they're all "experts" about what should happen next...

I dunno, the more I think about this, the more it stinks of politics and greed.

I say let 'em fall; it will make for hard times, but we're not turning shit around if they get bailed out, I can gurantee you that.



Penny Lane

QuoteI'm not as concerned as I probably should be about this market downturn - to me it just looks like stocks are on sale, but those with big portfolios are seeing the value go in the toilet and having a shit-fit for the short-term. Now, when more banks start failing and more and more regular people lose their jobs, then I'd get worried. But when it's CEOs and executives having to pay the piper for obscene salaries and irresponsible management, I don't feel so bad. When you consider the big picture, the market goes up and down, but growth always happens and smart investments will earn money in the long run - unless the economy totally collapses and we have anarchy and lose everything, well, then we're fucked. In my opinion, now is a great time to buy stocks!

crispy--i understand that but it won't happen in stages like that--that's the point---if we could all wait and act once joe blow next door loses his job, it wouldn't be a problem. the point we need to address the problem isn't when we see it start to effect us, it's when something like this legislation doesn't pass and the world loses faith in the market completely.

now is a good time to buy stocks, i would just be choosy---it's a buyer's market for a lot of things

the dollar has been weak for a long time--is this news?
but come on...there's nothing sexy about poop. Nothing.  -bbill

Penny Lane

Quote
Quotei agree w/the idealogy but there is no way the economy can fix itself!!!-
-

I disagree. You want to see this happen again? Then bail them out. If you don't bail them out then the odds of this happening again are exponentially less.

I have a feeling our nation has lost it's true work ethic and is relying on government to solve our issues. A bail out makes it all worse, IMO.
And all these "experst" yelling doom and gloom? Where were they a month ago? Seriously, I don't invest much stock (no pun intended) in these "experts" b/c none of them (not one) was standing on a mountain yelling to high heaven about what was about to go down.

I dunno, the more I think about this, the more it stinks of politics and greed. I say let 'em fall; it will make for hard times, but we're not turning shit around if they get bailed out, I can gurantee you that.



i would love to live in this world w/you---and i LOVE ayn rand (lol)--but i give up trying to convince you---i would love it if you were right, i don't even mind taking a financial hit because money doesn't excite me as much as the human spirit and work ethic --

i guess we'll see. i was really off on my OSU-USC prediction so i've been known to be wrong!
but come on...there's nothing sexy about poop. Nothing.  -bbill

ycartrob

Quote
i would love to live in this world w/you---

you do live in this world with me.

And when they get bailed out (and they will), it's just a matter of time until it happens again. But it will be OK, b/c America will still be able to fund million dollar movie blockbusters, athletes will get paid millions, Wall streeters will make millions, pharmaceutical companies will rip off patients and make millions, and teachers will continue to be underpaid.

Anyone else had enough?

I mean, is it really that dire of a situation if Republicans are taking away their votes b/c of the way Nancy Pelosi spoke to them? Or are they so far out of touch that they don't care; they got their feelings hurt so they are like, "Damn the econmy and America!"? And why is Pelosi making such harsh comments at such a dire time? Think about it, it really isn't adding up. The more I think about this and wait to see what happens next, the more I don't buy in to it.

pawpaw

Your idea is a great one Tracy, unfortunately, A LOT of people in America are compulsive borrowers and spenders. Personally, I'm with you...other than some outstanding student loans, we've eliminated all debt from our lives and live well within our means. Of course, we are looking to buy a home, and we do live in California, so we've got that gorilla to deal with soon...

The big problem, as I understand it, is that our credit system has FROZEN. There is very-little-to-no lending going on. This doesn't affect me, or most people now, but when businesses start getting denied credit advances they normally depend on for regular operation, people start losing jobs. It's hard to say how big or bad this crisis is, and I'm no economist, but I do think that the government needs to intervene on some level. Not $700 fucking BILLION worth of intervention, but we're in a tailspin that COULD get ugly without injection of capital.

People don't need loans for the new pool or car, but we do need stable jobs.
"I'm able to sing because I'm able to fly, son. You heard me right..."

Crispy

I agree with you penny, you can't just wait for everybody to lose their job and then start trying to fix the economy - but businesses tank and people lose their jobs everyday. I suppose there's some sort of threshold of failure where it's obvious there there will be a recession/depression if something isn't done. I do accept that some sort of bailout will need to happen - but there must be accountability for those in upper management who have ridden this wave to enormous wealth while managing their companies' finances irresponsibly. I like Gregg Easterbrook's take:
Quote"Here's an idea: Any company that participates in the bailout agrees to limit its top-tier executives to the federal minimum wage. That is, after all, the amount Washington says is enough to live on."
"...it's gonna be great -- I mean me coming back with the band and playing all those hits again"

Penny Lane

let the company and shareholders determine that pay. if you try to limit exec pay you really don't--you just force the execs and the company to cover up where the money is going--they find other ways to compensate--- cash is the best way; also, won't we be pushing all our great leaders (take paulson and corzine for example) abroad? it happens in countries when they try to socialize healthcare--
but come on...there's nothing sexy about poop. Nothing.  -bbill

BH

Why does this stuff always happen around election time?

If you think the dollar sucks now, just wait until we bail out the banks with 700 billion dollars that DON'T EXIST!
I'm digging, digging deep in myself, but who needs a shovel when you have a little boy like mine.

Penny Lane

not that it's funny, but me trying to do this math is---suppose 700 billion is broken down into 320 million people (whatever the pop)

that is 2,187.50/per person

unless i got the zeroes wrong??!! i guess you'd take that number and double it to rule out the non tax payers (children, etc) so $4,375 per/person

but come on...there's nothing sexy about poop. Nothing.  -bbill

bowl of soup

Today's Easterbrook thought on the bailout:

"Just One Bailout Thought: As Congress continues to debate whether they are going to hand over $700 billion of your money to the wealthy who screwed up Wall Street and the banking industry, you will be relieved to learn that top executives of the bailed-out firms temporarily will be limited to a strict $500,000 a year in tax-subsidized income. Surely you receive $500,000 a year in tax-subsidized income, don't you? Anyway, supposing we assume the bailout is required, here is what bothers me about the plan so far: Taxpayers don't get stock, what they get is warrants that can be exchanged for stock, and nonvoting stock to boot. This means that once media attention switches to the next crisis that everyone will claim in retrospect to have seen coming, the Wall Street rich can quietly lobby to have the warrants never called, thus keeping the entire bag of gold for themselves. Even if the warrants are called, taxpayers get no voting positions -- meaning the boards of directors of the bailed-out firms can do anything they damn please with taxpayers' money.

A week ago, Warren Buffett rescued Goldman Sachs by injecting $5 billion in capital. Did Buffett bargain for warrants that can be exchanged at an unknown later date for nonvoting shares? No: He is not a fool. Buffett gave Goldman Sachs $5 billion in return for senior preferred stock, the kind that votes and also is more valuable than ordinary shares. That is to say, he used his money to buy something. Goldman can now employ the cash to fix its liquidity problems. The United States Congress and the White House should use the public's $700 billion to buy something, namely senior preferred shares. Why are Congress and George W. Bush not simply following the road map laid out on this problem by the smartest investor of our era? Either Congress and the president are a bunch of blithering fools -- or what they actually want is to insure the public's money is never seen by the public again. "

Makes sense to me.
I'm not saying it's easy...walking into sweet oblivion.

Taterbug

I consider myself an idiot savant when it comes to macroeconomics,  To be honest. I am so fucking confused on what the right thing to do is.   Where again is the 700B coming from ?  
Is it similar to paying off a credit card with another credit card ?
A little help for the week minded please.  
"Things may come to those who wait, but only the things left by those who hustle" Honest Abe

BH

QuoteI consider myself an idiot savant when it comes to macroeconomics,  To be honest. I am so fucking confused on what the right thing to do is.   Where again is the 700B coming from ?  
Is it similar to paying off a credit card with another credit card ?
A little help for the week minded please.  

I think we are going to borrow it from the Chinese.
I'm digging, digging deep in myself, but who needs a shovel when you have a little boy like mine.

Crispy

You got it tater, except the other credit card is China
"...it's gonna be great -- I mean me coming back with the band and playing all those hits again"